According to a survey conducted by EnergyTrend, a solar industry research department of TrendForce, a global market research organization, due to policy uncertainties that have not been eliminated, and the fact that spot prices have risen significantly in the past two months, the related industry ’s views on the market outlook are still under multiple influence Recently, the spot market quotations have shown a shocking rise. Relevant industry players said that, because the price increase of downstream products obviously lags behind the upstream raw materials, and the relevant contracts still need to be executed, the frequency of buying and selling in the spot market has been slowed down, and then re-enter the market after the relevant uncertainties disappear.
In terms of the performance of the spot market in the first week of the year, EnergyTrend said that due to the end of the Lunar New Year holiday and the delay in the finalization of China's dual anti-policy policy, the relevant prices have shown a shocking rise, and the price of the inland market has increased to 135 ~ 150 Between RMB and RMB; for silicon wafers, industry players have successively increased their prices, and the average market price of polycrystalline silicon wafers has risen to around RMB 6.1 per wafer; the average price of single crystal silicon wafers has been around RMB 8.1 per wafer. In addition, the battery price remained between 2.5 and 3.2 yuan.
In terms of US dollar quotations, the current spot price is still between 16.5 and 18 US dollars per kilogram, but the spot market is mostly the source of second- and third-tier factories. First-tier manufacturers are currently not supplying much. The average price this week is To US $ 16.925 per kilogram, a slight increase of 0.01%; for silicon wafers, the industry has successively raised quotations, and some orders have completed transactions. The average price this week has increased to US $ 0.854 per wafer, an increase of 0.12%; On the wafer side, demand has increased but industry capacity has not recovered synchronously, so the average price rose to $ 1.18 per wafer, an increase of 0.17%.
In terms of battery quotations, the current small increase pattern is still maintained. The average price this week rose to 0.36 US dollars per watt, an increase of 0.28%. The module also maintained a small increase. The current average price came to 0.659 US dollars per watt, an increase 0.3%.
EnergyTrend latest solar market price survey (20130221)
In addition to the fact that the price of solar energy still maintains rising, new changes have taken place in technological development. Relevant industry players pointed out that as far as batteries are concerned, the Taiwanese and Chinese factories have never stopped in the competition for performance. The current mainstream technologies in the industry are mainly double screen printing (Double PrinTIng) and selective emitter (SelecTIve Emitter). However, the market continues to reduce the cost of power generation per watt. The current mainstream technology may not be able to meet the market demand for the speed of efficiency improvement. Therefore, the industry has become more active in evaluating and introducing new technologies.
Relevant industry players said that among many solutions, MWT (metal penetrating back electrode) technology has a very low degree of interference with the industry's existing processes. Only one single-station equipment is required to change the production line, and the effective surface area and battery are improved. The dual incentives for absolute conversion efficiency, coupled with the module package power loss can be further improved, and the high cost of module packaging has effectively decreased in recent years, which has effectively reduced the production cost per watt, so it has become a priority for manufacturers. Imported technology.
According to EnergyTrend's interviews, some factories in China and Taiwan have entered the stage of R & D and Pilot Run. It is estimated that mass production will be available from the second half of the year. According to the analysis, since the MWT technology requires the cooperation of the battery and the module industry, the mainland Chinese manufacturer is superior to the Taiwanese industry in the time of mass production of the MWT technology, which may affect Taiwan's competitiveness in the future.
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