(Original title: Self-driving cars will change the way people travel, and thus promote the transformation of the city)
Technology will fundamentally change the way people travel, and the speed may exceed expectations. Recently, Sam Schwartz and Arcadis and HR&A jointly released a report called "Driveless Future." The report pointed out that with the increasing popularity of self-driving cars, the cost of taking Uber or Lyft will be greatly reduced, and many people will change the way they travel.
“After extrapolating in a variety of ways, we see that major changes are about to happen,†Joe Iacobucci, transportation director at Sam Schwartz, told the Fastcompany website, “40% to 60% of drivers will switch to using these services for financial reasons. ."
The report predicts that in 15 years, private car ownership in New York will fall by 60%; Los Angeles will drop by 44%; Dallas will drop by 31%. With the reduction of private cars, the city will undergo a fundamental change. “That time, the parking space in the city will be greatly reduced. We have the opportunity to rethink the street layout and urban infrastructure.†Iacobucci said, “You can look at the streets of the city, and 25% of them are for cars. With fewer parking spaces, we can separate the bicycle lanes and set up large pedestrian facilities to rejuvenate the streets."
Some cities have begun to make plans for this. For example, Detroit and Pittsburgh have dedicated personnel to this task. With the development of self-driving cars, urban management agencies must consider the various problems that arise from this. For example, when a large number of residents choose networks to drive buses rather than buses, a large number of drivers will face unemployment.
The report suggests that urban management agencies should divide transport facilities by region. In high-density areas, subways and buses are more efficient, and bus facilities should be improved; in other regions, cars are more efficient, so buses may need to be improved or replaced.
Although technology poses many challenges, the city’s traffic conditions will be greatly improved if appropriate policies are adopted. “If the city can plan ahead and manage it rationally, this is an excellent opportunity to improve the urban streets and transport infrastructure. Today's cities are a relatively large group based on income, and this situation will be improved,†said Iacobucci. "If we ignore this opportunity, perhaps the situation of the 20th century will reappear. Basically, the traffic network brings congestion, inequality, and isolation."
The title map comes from fastcodesign
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